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Nosemonkey's EUtopia

In search of a European identity

German elections roundup

German elections: Despite weekend polls giving the CDU/CSU opposition a 13% lead, another recent poll reckons that Gerhard Schr�der remains Germany’s preferred Chancellor. Will Merkel’s latest announcement tip the balance, or has it already been tipped? Confusing, this polling business – we need a German Anthony Wells

2 Comments

  1. My advice to Herr Gerhard: run once again on a staunchly anti-Bush plank

    He could promise the closing of all US/NATO bases on German soil – after all, what�s their use now that Russia is back on the right side of civilization

    He could also offer political refugee status to President Saddam Hussein: the man had class to spare, always very elegant in his dark grey suit and tie- whereas �Grand� Ayatollah Al-Sistani always wears a dirty Persian silk napkin on his head!

    Saddam knew how to shoot straight from the hip, and he had a penchant for vintage handcrafted European rifles such as the ManuFrance triple-barreled Buffalo-Mittraille (a masterpiece), and he certainly knew how to make good use of it notably on renegade Shiite fundamentalists �

    Dr Victorino de la Vega http://mideastmemo.blogspot.com/

  2. I've updated the German polling figures here.

    The figures to watch on the German polls aren't the gap between the CDU/CSU and the SDP, but the sum of the CDU/CSU and FDP figures – or more specifically, if they are over 50%.

    A couple of months ago they were well above 50%. August has been a bit dicey, with the combined figure often falling to 49%. Once parties that fall below the 5% threshold are excluded, 49% would probably be enough to scrape a meagre majority for the CDU/CSU+FDP, but it's too close for any real comfort. The most recent two polls however have shown the CDU/CSU+FDP back over the 50% mark.

    On the left, while the SDP have gained some support – recent polls have them at 30% when a month or so ago they were marooned around the 26-27% mark – this is mostly at the expense of the new Left party, who seem to have peaked at the end of last month when they were regularly hitting 12%. Now they are are 10% or lower.